Thursday, June 10, 2010

Amortization in Excel 2: Smart Loan Malaysia Comparison



Recap: please read Amortization in Excel: Do You Know Your Loan Well?

Mortgage Refinancing Parameter: completed, Selangor, RM100,000 loan, conventional and Islamic loan, floating interest, 10-year-tenure, no flexi loan. BLR=6.05%p.a.

Loan Comparison Platform: http://www.smartloans.my

Let's compare the cheapest and most expansive package.

Example 1: Hong Leong Flexi Package (BLR-1.9%) - Cheapest
1) Interest Rate = RATE(nper,pmt,pv,fv,type)
= 12*Rate(12*10,-1020,100000,0,0) = 4.16% p.a.

2) Total Interest Paid for 10 years loan = CUMIPMT(rate,nper,pv,start_period,end_period,type)
= CUMIPMT(0.0416/12,12*10,1000
00,1,12*10,0) = -22,408.80

3) Ratio = (interest paid + principle)/principle
= (22408.80+100000)/100000 = 1.22.

Example 2: Standard Chartered - Standard Term Loan - Most Expansive
How to calculate the Standard Chartered - Standard Term Loan?
Uneven cashflow is determined in the study via XIRR.
First 1 year: RM1,022, Next 4 years: RM1,025, thereafter RM1,205. Bank always confuses his customer, and it leads to difficult way to compare with others.





1) IRR = 5.99%p.a.

2) Total Interest Paid for 10 years loan = CUMIPMT(rate,nper,pv,star
t_period,end_period,type)
= CUMIPMT(0.0599/12,12*10,1000
00,1,12*10,0) = -33164.43.

3) Ratio = (interest paid + principle)/principle
= (33164.43+100000)/100000 = 1.33.

Monday, June 7, 2010

Dollar Cost Averaging and Single Lump Sum Comparison


Scenario 1: Mr. J did invest single lump sum RM31,000 into an UT on 13-Dec-07. Today's value of this UT suffers loss of 9.81% for holding period (13-Dec-07 till 4-Jun-10), which its value is RM26,421.16, CAGR = -6.27% p.a.


Scenario 2: Mr. K started his first investment for the same UT for RM1,000 on 13-Dec-07. And, he practiced his monthly investment amounted RM1,000 into the UT on the 1st day of the month till 1-Jun-10. Today's value of this UT generates gain of 3.82% for holding period (13-Dec-07 till 4-Jun-10), which its value is RM32,183.39, CAGR = 3.03% p.a.


Rule: practicing in dollar cost averaging only be effective on the best quality share/UT.

Discussion:
No body can time the market. So, dollar cost average works perfectly during the price going down because it buys more during downtime. Thus, cultivate the discipline of averaging the share/unit that u bought. It is proven a power statistical way to average the risk of buying high or selling low. The best example, I will quote EPF. Discipline, force saving, only invest no withdraw and well-managed fund are the characteristic of an effective saving. Doubtful? Then you many compare your saving by your own effort with saving by EPF. The EPF's results tell you the result.

In reality, people are hard to be educated to have the awareness of the dollar cost averaging. They only buy it during price is on the way up and sell it during price in on the way down. It is mainly because of the lack of education in investment.

To make it effective, cutting cost for the transaction is very important for the investment. You may buy share (due to very minimal cost to have the transaction done), UT (with agent's price or staff price) or buy it directly from FundSuperMart (cheaper service charge). Most importantly, Malaysia doesnt impose capital gain tax on the share capital appreciation, but income tax on dividend and distribution from share/UT. Let us study scenario 3.

Scenario 3: Miss L is an agent who attaches to one of the UTC. She pays (1-5.5%+2.75%=97.25% simplified) for each buying transaction. Today's value of this UT generates gain of 6.84% for holding period (13-Dec-07 till 4-Jun-10), which its value is RM32,183.39, CAGR = 5.38% p.a.

If I got time, next day we discuss VCA - value cost averaging.